|
|
|
|
WASHINGTON — A growing share of home sales are
from foreclosures, especially in states hardest
hit by the housing bust. In some parts of
California lately, nearly 50 percent of home sales
come from foreclosed houses.
The trend, which is putting additional downward
pressure on home prices, is most notable there and
in Nevada, Colorado, Tennessee and Michigan, but
is also evident in Ohio, Georgia, Florida and
Arizona, according to an Associated Press
comparison of 2007 sales and foreclosure data. In
Nevada, for example, 17.5 percent of home sales
were from foreclosures, more than quadruple the
number in 2006.
The growing proportion of foreclosure sales is
both a symptom and cause of worsening conditions
in the weakest housing markets, real estate
experts say. Homeowners who aren’t on a deadline
to sell are yanking their properties off the
market, and this means the remaining inventory is
increasingly held by banks eager to unload
foreclosed properties at fire-sale prices rather
than carry the costs on their books.
Property values and local tax revenues are
suffering as a result, consumer advocates say,
especially in neighborhoods with lots of minority
residents for whom lending standards were weakest.
“There is a real complacency, or an
under-appreciation of how bad this is,” said
Ramsey Su, an investor and former real estate
broker in San Diego who regularly combs through
the local sales database to asses the impact of
foreclosure sales.
Reacting to such concerns, the Bush Administration
and lenders including Bank of America Corp. and
Citigroup Inc. unveiled a plan Tuesday to give
seriously delinquent borrowers a 30-day break from
foreclosure while lenders try to work out a way to
make the mortgage more affordable.
The AP’s foreclosure analysis compared the annual
rate of existing home sales in the third quarter
of 2007 — the most recent quarter available from
the National Association of Realtors — with
foreclosure sales data provided by RealtyTrac Inc.
of Irvine, Calif. The analysis found:
— In Colorado, foreclosure sales accounted for
15.6 percent of home sales in 2007, up from 10
percent in 2006.
— In California, the number jumped to 11.3 percent
from 3.7 percent.
— In Tennessee, it rose to 10.6 percent from 5.2
percent, and in Michigan it climbed to 9.3 percent
from 4.9 percent.
— Nationwide, including Washington, D.C.,
foreclosure sales grew to 4.7 percent of existing
home sales, up from 3.3 percent in 2006.
Comparable data were not available for South
Dakota and New Hampshire.
The analysis underscores that the housing bust is
having the most severe impact in areas where
lending standards were the loosest, or where the
economy is especially weak. In 18 states —
including places as diverse as Maine, New Mexico
and Kansas — foreclosure sales made up less than 2
percent of total sales.
Lax lending standards, which were especially
prevalent in formerly booming housing markets in
California and Nevada, allowed borrowers to buy
far more expensive houses than they could afford
during the boom years, and now defaults are
surging.
Highly discounted foreclosure sales also can make
it tougher for borrowers to refinance into more
affordable loans if their property value falls,
which could lead to more foreclosures and lengthen
the housing crisis.
Thomas Blanchard, who sells bank-owned properties
in Las Vegas, said the trend has accelerated the
past two months, and he estimates that 60 percent
of properties on the market there are in
foreclosure.
“The only people that you have in our market here
in Las Vegas are the people that have to sell,”
Blanchard said.
The same is true in parts of California. In
December, 46 percent of homes sold in the
Sacramento area and 31 percent in the San Diego
area had gone through foreclosure, up dramatically
from about 4 percent a year earlier, according to
San Diego-based DataQuick Information Systems, a
real estate information firm.
Banks, faced with the mounting costs of holding
properties, are cutting prices. The average price
of a foreclosure sale nationwide dropped about
$1,000 last year to about $226,000, according to
RealtyTrac.
While foreclosure sales are bad news for
homeowners in neighborhoods with high foreclosure
rates, they are a boon for well-financed buyers
looking for properties at bargain prices. And in
broad terms, economists view them as part of
getting back to more realistic prices after years
of excess.
Alejandro Diaz-Bazan, who sells foreclosed
properties in Miami, said banks seeking to unload
foreclosed properties are looking for buyers that
can close deals quickly, and therefore need to
have a hefty down payment. This month, Diaz-Bazan
said a European client bought two foreclosed
condominiums as an investment.
“The bank really is out to move them, to liquidate
them,” Diaz-Bazan said. Despite the downward
pressure on prices, he said, “property prices in
Miami have not dropped enough” for the market to
rebound.
More than half of houses sold in San Diego last
month were either bank-owned properties or
“short-sales” in which a lender agrees to accept
less than the value of the mortgage to avoid a
foreclosure, according to Su, the investor. That
number was up dramatically from 26 percent in
August, according to calculations Su made by
combing through the San Diego real estate listings
database.
In an effort to get a handle on the scope of the
problem, the National Association of Realtors is
conducting an informal survey of the issue and is
planning to release findings later this month,
spokesman Walter Molony said.
Experts emphasize that the available data paints
an incomplete picture. That’s because the Realtors
group doesn’t count all foreclosure sales because
many foreclosures are sold through auctions and
are not listed on the regional databases where the
trade group gets its data. The Realtors group is
scheduled to release its fourth-quarter
state-by-state update on home sales Thursday.
RealtyTrac’s foreclosure records come from about
two-thirds of U.S. counties and cities. The
company says it counts foreclosure sales by
matching up property sales records with its
foreclosure database. |
|
|